Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.000105 0.000117 0.000129 0.000143 0.000158 0.000175 0.000195
2025-12-07 0.000087 0.000102 0.000120 0.000140 0.000165 0.000193 0.000228
2025-12-14 0.000076 0.000094 0.000115 0.000142 0.000175 0.000216 0.000269
2025-12-21 0.000067 0.000086 0.000110 0.000142 0.000184 0.000237 0.000309
2025-12-28 0.000059 0.000079 0.000105 0.000141 0.000190 0.000255 0.000347
2026-01-04 0.000054 0.000075 0.000103 0.000143 0.000200 0.000278 0.000395
2026-01-11 0.000050 0.000071 0.000100 0.000143 0.000207 0.000298 0.000439
2026-01-18 0.000045 0.000066 0.000097 0.000143 0.000213 0.000316 0.000482
2026-01-25 0.000042 0.000063 0.000093 0.000142 0.000218 0.000334 0.000525
2026-02-01 0.000038 0.000059 0.000091 0.000142 0.000224 0.000353 0.000572
2026-02-08 0.000035 0.000056 0.000087 0.000140 0.000227 0.000367 0.000612
2026-02-15 0.000033 0.000053 0.000085 0.000139 0.000232 0.000383 0.000658
2026-02-22 0.000031 0.000051 0.000083 0.000140 0.000238 0.000404 0.000714
2026-03-01 0.000029 0.000048 0.000080 0.000138 0.000241 0.000420 0.000762
2026-03-08 0.000027 0.000047 0.000080 0.000140 0.000251 0.000448 0.000835
2026-03-15 0.000026 0.000045 0.000078 0.000141 0.000258 0.000471 0.000901
2026-03-22 0.000024 0.000043 0.000076 0.000140 0.000262 0.000489 0.000960
2026-03-29 0.000023 0.000042 0.000076 0.000142 0.000271 0.000519 0.001045
2026-04-05 0.000022 0.000040 0.000075 0.000142 0.000278 0.000543 0.001120
2026-04-12 0.000021 0.000039 0.000073 0.000142 0.000283 0.000564 0.001191
2026-04-19 0.000019 0.000037 0.000071 0.000141 0.000287 0.000584 0.001260
2026-04-26 0.000019 0.000036 0.000070 0.000141 0.000292 0.000607 0.001340
2026-05-03 0.000017 0.000035 0.000068 0.000139 0.000294 0.000622 0.001402